2015 M3 residuals. Aug 2014

IM2C · 09-26-2015, 03:38 AM

My M3 enters production last week of October and I'm curious what were the residuals last year for Oct/Nov/Dec? I'll be doing PCD in December most likely.

Is there a residual trend based on the time of the year?

MPerformance211 · 09-26-2015, 07:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by e90im

My M3 enters production last week of October and I'm curious what were the residuals last year for Oct/Nov/Dec? I'll be doing PCD in December most likely.

Is there a residual trend based on the time of the year?

mine enters the third week of October and I'm equally curious....also wondering when Holiday Cash starts as well???????

IM2C · 09-26-2015, 10:41 AM

It would be interesting to see how residuals changed since the f80/f82 deliveries started. If I had the data, I'd plug it in the excel.

saleen556 · 09-26-2015, 10:52 AM

I'm fixing to get an M3 orderd in October. Also curious about December incentives. Assume I would get it until atleast then or even later.

firedown31 · 09-26-2015, 12:40 PM

Dug through the 2015 pricing thread to try and find the residuals for the 2015 M3. Got most of them from August 2014 - September 2015. They are listed below.

The 2016 has been 36 months 10k miles 62% since it came out. I wouldn't be surprised to see the residuals stay exactly the same until early next year. However we should get holiday cash and 39 month options in December.

Code:

MY2015 RESIDUALS


August 2014
M3
15k 55%
12k 57%
10k 58%

September 2014
M3
15k 56%
12k 58%
10k 59%

October 2014
M3
15k 56%
12k 58%
10k 59%

November 2014
M3
15k 56%
12k 58%
10k 59%

December 2014
M3
15k 57%
12k 59%
10k 60%

January 2015
M3
15k 59%
12k 61%
10k 62%

February 2015
M3
?? Not sure, I think the same as January

March 2015
M3
15k 63%
12k 65%
10k 66%

April 2015
M3
15k 62%
12k 64%
10k 65%

May 2015
M3
15k 62%
12k 64%
10k 65%

June 2015
M3
?? Not sure, I think the same as May and July

July 2015
M3
15k 62%
12k 64%
10k 65%

August 2015
M3
15k 61%
12k 63%
10k 64%

September 2015
M3
15k 60%
12k 62%
10k 63%

MRCUR · 09-26-2015, 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by firedown31

Dug through the 2015 pricing thread to try and find the residuals for the 2015 M3. Got most of them from August 2014 - September 2015. They are listed below.

The 2016 has been 36 months 10k miles 62% since it came out. I wouldn't be surprised to see the residuals stay exactly the same until early next year. However we should get holiday cash and 39 month options in December

Great data to see compiled like that. It's crazy how much BMW upped the end of model year residuals. When I picked up my 2015 M3 it was 60%, 6 months later the same car was 66%.

trey100 · 09-26-2015, 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MRCUR

Quote:

Originally Posted by firedown31

Dug through the 2015 pricing thread to try and find the residuals for the 2015 M3. Got most of them from August 2014 - September 2015. They are listed below.

The 2016 has been 36 months 10k miles 62% since it came out. I wouldn't be surprised to see the residuals stay exactly the same until early next year. However we should get holiday cash and 39 month options in December

Great data to see compiled like that. It's crazy how much BMW upped the end of model year residuals. When I picked up my 2015 M3 it was 60%, 6 months later the same car was 66%.

It is. That's what makes leasing tricky compared to buying. In your case you're talking a $150/month difference or more with interest. Blanket statements about lease vs buying leave this point out.

RobbyMack · 09-26-2015, 03:07 PM

I think you'll certainly see residuals increase toward model year end. However you could also see them hold if in fact a comp pack is released and demand spikes as a result. It's really anyone's guess but an increasing residual trend is likely.

IM2C · 09-26-2015, 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by firedown31

Dug through the 2015 pricing thread to try and find the residuals for the 2015 M3. Got most of them from August 2014 - September 2015. They are listed below.

The 2016 has been 36 months 10k miles 62% since it came out. I wouldn't be surprised to see the residuals stay exactly the same until early next year. However we should get holiday cash and 39 month options in December.

Code:

August 2014
M3
15k 55%
12k 57%
10k 58%

September 2014
15k 56%
12k 58%
10k 59%

October 2014
15k 56%
12k 58%
10k 59%

November 2014
M3
15k 56%
12k 58%
10k 59%

December 2014
M3
15k 57%
12k 59%
10k 60%

January 2015
M3
15k 59%
12k 61%
10k 62%

February 2015
M3
?? Not sure, I think the same as January

March 2015
M3
15k 63%
12k 65%
10k 66%

April 2015
M3
15k 62%
12k 64%
10k 65%

May 2015
M3
15k 62%
12k 64%
10k 65%

June 2015
M3
?? Not sure, I think the same as May and July

July 2015
M3
15k 62%
12k 64%
10k 65%

August 2015
M3
15k 61%
12k 63%
10k 64%

September 2015
M3
15k 60%
12k 62%
10k 63%

Whoa! Great job! Pretty sure August/September 2015 residuals were 59,60 and 62.

Bmwguy11 · 09-26-2015, 06:51 PM

Yea those August and September 2015 residuals are not correct for MY 2016s

firedown31 · 09-26-2015, 07:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by e90im

Whoa! Great job! Pretty sure August/September 2015 residuals were 59,60 and 62.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bmwguy11

Yea those August and September 2015 residuals are not correct for MY 2016s

Should have clarified better, everything in the code box is for MY2015 M3s to see how their residual changes over a year. You guys are right about the MY2016s being different.

IM2C · 09-26-2015, 08:39 PM

2015 M3 residuals from Aug 2014 to Sep 2015

RowanBuds · 09-26-2015, 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by firedown31

Dug through the 2015 pricing thread to try and find the residuals for the 2015 M3. Got most of them from August 2014 - September 2015. They are listed below.

I'm fairly sure the February 15 rates matched those offered in March. I was very nervous when I saw February rates because they were still too far out for me to get locked in on - then they were same for March and I was releived.

IM2C · 09-27-2015, 10:57 AM

Forgot to thank firedown31 for getting the data.

BMV///M3 · 09-28-2015, 02:30 PM

Awesome work! Man March was the time to buy if you were looking for the best residual....

LDSM · 09-29-2015, 07:09 AM

This would be cool if it were updated regularly, to see the trends year over year

hatepotholez · 09-30-2015, 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by e90im

2015 M3 residuals from Aug 2014 to Sep 2015

This is very helpful, thank you and firestorm31 for this!!

IM2C · 09-30-2015, 11:57 AM

My car entered production yesterday!!! Got confirmed PCD date! December 8th!!!!!

Now, let's order some mods!

soobieajax325 · 09-30-2015, 04:52 PM

Does anyone know how much the fees are for doc, taxes, etc.? Planning on getting the car from a long beach dealership and i live in so cal. If that matters

saleen556 · 09-30-2015, 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by soobieajax325

Does anyone know how much the fees are for doc, taxes, etc.? Planning on getting the car from a long beach dealership and i live in so cal. If that matters

If you are dealing with Khoi I don't believe you have anything to worry about.

hockey21 · 10-02-2015, 12:37 AM

tell me about it! i should have bought in march and had mine for the summer!

anyways, back in march they were tougher to get allocations and dealers were holding on MSRP pricing. it all equals out one way or another. i wish they shared more on residuals across different months, as well as models to plan ahead

BrooklynG87 · 10-02-2015, 01:07 AM

That's awesome to see. Thank you for compiling that data. Curious to compare the M4 rates to the M3.

09-26-2015, 03:38 AM	#1
IM2C Major General 2069 Rep 5,373 Posts Drives: ∞ Improbability Drive Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: FL iTrader: (9)	2015 M3 residuals. Aug 2014 - Sep 2015 chart My M3 enters production last week of October and I'm curious what were the residuals last year for Oct/Nov/Dec? I'll be doing PCD in December most likely. Is there a residual trend based on the time of the year? __________________ ///\| g87 \| f87 Comp \| g29 M40i \| f97 Comp \| f80 Comp \| f80 \| f30 \| e92 \| tt \| S5 \| e92 \| 350z \| e90 \| Last edited by IM2C; 09-27-2015 at 11:37 PM..
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09-26-2015, 10:41 AM	#3
IM2C Major General 2069 Rep 5,373 Posts Drives: ∞ Improbability Drive Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: FL iTrader: (9)	It would be interesting to see how residuals changed since the f80/f82 deliveries started. If I had the data, I'd plug it in the excel. __________________ ///\| g87 \| f87 Comp \| g29 M40i \| f97 Comp \| f80 Comp \| f80 \| f30 \| e92 \| tt \| S5 \| e92 \| 350z \| e90 \|
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09-26-2015, 10:52 AM	#4
saleen556 Captain 234 Rep 687 Posts Drives: 2016 M3 Join Date: Sep 2015 Location: PORTLAND OR iTrader: (1)	I'm fixing to get an M3 orderd in October. Also curious about December incentives. Assume I would get it until atleast then or even later.
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09-26-2015, 03:07 PM	#8
RobbyMack Captain 739 Rep 696 Posts Drives: '16 F80 Sakhir Join Date: May 2014 Location: The Left Coast iTrader: (0)	I think you'll certainly see residuals increase toward model year end. However you could also see them hold if in fact a comp pack is released and demand spikes as a result. It's really anyone's guess but an increasing residual trend is likely.
	Appreciate 0 Quote

09-26-2015, 06:51 PM	#10
Bmwguy11 Lieutenant Colonel 1252 Rep 1,760 Posts Drives: 2016 YMB M3 Join Date: Aug 2011 Location: Wisconsin iTrader: (1)	Yea those August and September 2015 residuals are not correct for MY 2016s
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09-26-2015, 08:39 PM	#12
IM2C Major General 2069 Rep 5,373 Posts Drives: ∞ Improbability Drive Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: FL iTrader: (9)	2015 M3 residuals from Aug 2014 to Sep 2015 Attached Images __________________ ///\| g87 \| f87 Comp \| g29 M40i \| f97 Comp \| f80 Comp \| f80 \| f30 \| e92 \| tt \| S5 \| e92 \| 350z \| e90 \|
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09-27-2015, 10:57 AM	#14
IM2C Major General 2069 Rep 5,373 Posts Drives: ∞ Improbability Drive Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: FL iTrader: (9)	Forgot to thank *firedown31* for getting the data. __________________ ///\| g87 \| f87 Comp \| g29 M40i \| f97 Comp \| f80 Comp \| f80 \| f30 \| e92 \| tt \| S5 \| e92 \| 350z \| e90 \|
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09-28-2015, 02:30 PM	#15
BMV///M3 Major 419 Rep 1,068 Posts Drives: BMW f80 M3 Join Date: May 2012 Location: CA iTrader: (1)	Awesome work! Man March was the time to buy if you were looking for the best residual....
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09-29-2015, 07:09 AM	#16
LDSM Captain 344 Rep 686 Posts Drives: ... Join Date: Jun 2012 Location: ... iTrader: (0)	This would be cool if it were updated regularly, to see the trends year over year
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09-30-2015, 11:57 AM	#18
IM2C Major General 2069 Rep 5,373 Posts Drives: ∞ Improbability Drive Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: FL iTrader: (9)	My car entered production yesterday!!! Got confirmed PCD date! December 8th!!!!! Now, let's order some mods! __________________ ///\| g87 \| f87 Comp \| g29 M40i \| f97 Comp \| f80 Comp \| f80 \| f30 \| e92 \| tt \| S5 \| e92 \| 350z \| e90 \|
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09-30-2015, 04:52 PM	#19
soobieajax325 First Lieutenant 196 Rep 395 Posts Drives: M3, WRX, S1000RR Join Date: Aug 2012 Location: Cali-for-nye-A iTrader: (3)	Does anyone know how much the fees are for doc, taxes, etc.? Planning on getting the car from a long beach dealership and i live in so cal. If that matters
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10-02-2015, 12:37 AM	#21
hockey21 Captain 222 Rep 644 Posts Drives: 16SSM3.Prev ymbM,e46m3,e39 M5 Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: NYC/CT iTrader: (0)	tell me about it! i should have bought in march and had mine for the summer! anyways, back in march they were tougher to get allocations and dealers were holding on MSRP pricing. it all equals out one way or another. i wish they shared more on residuals across different months, as well as models to plan ahead
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10-02-2015, 01:07 AM	#22
BrooklynG87 Major 1360 Rep 1,188 Posts Drives: 2023 BMW M2 Join Date: Feb 2009 Location: Manhasset, NY iTrader: (3) Garage List 2018 BMW i3s REX [10.00] 2021 Audi SQ5 [0.00] 2020 BMW M2 CS [10.00] 2018 Audi SQ5 [0.00] 2020 BMW X3M Compet ... [10.00] 1999 BMW M3 [10.00]	That's awesome to see. Thank you for compiling that data. Curious to compare the M4 rates to the M3.
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